Concessions are on the rise in most markets across the country. As the fourth quarter begins and traffic and leasing slow significantly, concessions will likely rise even further. Some markets have already seen huge concession increases.
We are excited to announce some new changes to the Rent and Operating Trends Report beginning this week. Revenue per Available Unit (RevPAU) is a comprehensive apartment performance metric that combines net effective rent with occupancy to identify the total potential revenue given the number of operational units in a property, submarket or MSA.
While declines in net effective rent and occupancy have garnered most headlines in multifamily, demand is quietly holding its own at the national level. Year-to-date, traffic nationwide is up roughly 19%. Some markets have seen even stronger growth thus far in 2023.
Atlanta’s apartment market is struggling as new supply weighs heavily on performance from the property level all the way to the market level. The local economy continues to flourish as job growth and population growth remain among the best in the country, however the onslaught of new apartment construction has outpaced demand.
An inverted yield curve, where long term interest rates are higher than short term interest rates, is often a leading indicator for a recession. In late 2022, during the Fed’s aggressive monetary tightening, the yield curve inverted and remains inverted nearly a year later.
Revenue per available unit (RevPAU) combines net effective rent with occupancy for a single metric to analyze the strength of performance at the property, submarket and MSA level. Over the past 12 months, the leading markets for RevPAU performance are tertiary sunbelt markets and northern Gateway markets.
The U.S. economy awaits another Fed meeting, scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. Most economists predict that the Fed will hold rates steady at the upcoming meeting, but it is far from an indication that the monetary tightening cycle has concluded.
Revenue per available (RevPAU) unit is a key metric in the multifamily industry that tracks the impact of both rent growth and occupancy for a given property, submarket or market. In recent months, rents and occupancy rates have both been declining, which has exacerbated the negative impact on RevPAU.
While Seattle is not commonly referred to as a Gateway market, its fundamentals often follow many of the tech-heavy Gateway’s on the west coast and in the northeast. As the multifamily industry cools amid significant new supply pressure, Seattle is once again trending like its peers. Traffic, overall occupancy, and occupancy growth are tracking in line with Los Angeles and Boston, while significant rent declines are tracking with San Francisco.
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