Menu
The U.S. economy continues its steady march forward, as most key indicators have maintained their recent trends. August job growth was strong once again, as the labor force added 187,000 new jobs. The unemployment rate increased to 3.8%, but some of the increase in unemployment can be attributed to the continuous growth in labor force participation. While the labor force is not yet back to its pre-COVID levels, participation is expanding modestly and steadily. With such tight labor conditions and new jobs being formed each month, I expect labor force participation to continue its upward trajectory in the coming months.
The Consumer Price Index will be released on Wednesday, the last inflation indicator, prior to the Fed’s next meeting. Economists are expecting inflation to increase from last month, and if this holds true, it may give the Fed more fodder to raise rates once again. While many economists believe that the Fed has already raised interest rates enough, it is clear that Jerome Powell is restocking his tool kit with more conventional monetary policy tools. The further they increase interest rates without major shocks to the economy or employment market, the more room the Fed has room to drop rates if and when they need to. In both prior recessions the Fed was forced into quantitative easing, a policy unheard of before 2008. However, with interest rates at a multidecade high, the Fed can now use traditional forms of policy easing when economic conditions deteriorate.
Apartment fundamentals were down across the board last week, a typical pattern in the late third and fourth quarter of the year. Rent growth and occupancy have stalled, while leading indicators traffic and leasing continue to fall from mid-summer highs. Likely this pattern will continue, as new developments deliver, especially in sunbelt markets.
Key Takeaways – Data as of 09/10/2023
Traffic and Leases:
Occupancy and ATR:
Net Effective Rent:
7150 E Camelback Rd.
Suite #333
Scottsdale AZ, 85251
Phone: 602-892-4788
Email: info[@]radix.com
Rr. Ukshin Hoti, Nr. 120
Kompleksi Ramiz Sadiku, C3
Kosovo, Prishtine 10000
Phone: +383 44 855 334
Email: info[@]radix.com