In the wake of a higher-than-expected inflation report, the theme from many Fed Governors last week was patience in determining when the first interest rate hike would be.
It was a quiet week in the economy last week, and most indicators continued their slow and steady growth. All eyes will be on inflation this week from a quantitative perspective. From a qualitative perspective, many of the Fed Governors are slated to speak at various events.
In a rare interview on Sunday evening, Fed Chair Jerome Powell explained on 60 Minutes that the Fed is now planning its first interest rate cut since 2020. Most economists expected rate cuts in 2024, however it is abnormal for the Fed Chair to speak publicly on the matter, especially outside of a policy meeting press conference.
Will you be at NMHC this week? If so, come find us. Blerim Zeqiri, Brad Cribbins, Jay Denton, and I will be at the Apartment Strategies conference and the annual meeting. We would love to share what 2024 has in store for Radix and the multifamily industry.
The Radix team will be at the NMHC annual meeting next week and we would love to see you there. If you’ll be in attendance please reach out. We will be sharing market insight and forecasts as well as upcoming product updates. We are also excited to open several new markets in Radix Research.
The U.S. economy was thrown a slight curveball last week when the December Consumer Price Index came in higher than expected. Inflation increased at an annualized rate of 3.4% marking a modest uptick from previous months. Driving the growth was a 0.4% increase in the shelter index, which relates directly to the cost of housing.
The first week of 2024 was a mixed bag from an economic perspective. Major equity indices sold off to start the year, led by the tech sector. There has been some concern that the stock market became overvalued after a surprising and very strong 2023.
The U.S. economy had a surprisingly strong 2023, as prognosticators initially forecast a high chance of recession at the beginning of the year. Instead, equity indices performed very well, with the S&P 500 rising 24%, job growth continued its steady expansion, and economic growth outperformed nearly all expectations.
As we approach the end of 2023, this week’s report will be our last of the year. As such, I looked back over the prior 51 weeks at some of the key trends, predictions and observations we made to identify where we got it right and where we missed the mark.